الثلاثاء، 1 مارس 2016

How Brokers Handle Huge Wins - EarnForex Newsletter - March 2016

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EarnForex.com Monthly Newsletter
March 1st, 2016

Welcome to the latest issue of EarnForex.com newsletter — March 2016.

In this issue of EarnForex.com newsletter, I will remind you about the most important Forex-related events of the last month and will also show you the list of the site's latest updates.

EDITORIAL: How Brokers Handle Huge Wins?

One of the website visitors had asked me to explain how a Forex broker can pay out million-dollar profits to successful traders. Unless the broker is a casino (a bucket-shop) — in that case the answer is obvious — the scheme is not that apparent to a layman.

To get this clear, we need to look at how profit is made in retail Forex.

A trader (let's call her Trader Ann) deposits $10,000 margin into her trading account. This money is usually kept in the broker's bank account or in a special segregated account.

Next, Trader Ann buys 5 lots of EUR/USD at 1.0700 with 1:100 leverage.

What happens from the trader's point of view, is that $5,350 (1.07×5,000) margin is taken by the broker to hold the position. At the same time, some floating profit/loss associated with the position appears in the account.

There are two possibilities of what happens from the broker's point of view:

  • If the broker acts like a market maker, it offsets the trade with an equal position with another market maker or, rarely, another trader.
  • If the broker acts like an ECN, it matches the trade to another trade inside its network.

In case of a market maker, the broker now has two positions in its books (considering 1 pip spread marup):

  • SELL 5 lots EUR/USD @ 1.0700 to Trader Ann
  • BUY 5 lots EUR/USD @ 1.0699 from another MM

When EUR/USD rate reaches 1.2000 and Trader Ann decides to close her EUR/USD Buy of 5 lots. That SELL position ends up in a loss of $650,000. The BUY trade ends up in a profit of $650,500. The market maker collects its profit from a bank, another broker or whoever it had bought the 5 lots from. It pays out the trader's due ($650,000) and keeps the difference to itself ($500). The trade can go through several market makers before it is matched with one or more actual trades. The broker gets the money from the next MM it dealt with but the eventual loser can be several layers apart.

In case of an ECN, the broker has no positions in its books — the trades are held by two matched traders. Let's call the second trader Bob (in reality, Bob could be some transnational corporation):

  • Trader Ann: BUY 5 lots EUR/USD @ 1.0700
  • Trader Bob: SELL 5 lots EUR/USD @ 1.0700

When EUR/USD goes to 1.2000 and Trader Ann closes her position, Trader Bob owes $650,000 to her. Since there was no stop-out of a trade during the period, obviously, Trader Bob has enough free margin in his broker's account to cover the loss. Trader Ann receives her winnings from Trader Bob via their brokers.

To conclude, in both cases, brokers pay out huge winnings to traders using the money lost by other traders. In case of an ECN, the traders are matched more or less directly. In case of a market maker, there can be several layers between the winning and the losing trader.

Overview of the major currency pairs' performance in February

EUR/USD — after initial very strong rally, the pair went into decline and finished February near the monthly open level. It was at the maximum at 1.1376 on February 11, at its minimum at 1.0814 on February 1, finishing the month at 1.0872.

GBP/USD — was on a straight way down due to the Brexit fears this month. The highest monthly rate was at 1.4668 on February 4, while the lowest — at 1.3835 on February 29. GBP/USD finished February trading at 1.3914.

USD/JPY — demonstrated a rapid decline during the first days of the month but then consolidated into something that looks like a double bottom pattern. The pair rose to as high as 121.48 on February 1, reaching a bottom at 110.97 on February 11 and closing the month with the 112.67 rate.

EUR/JPY — has shown a steep fall. The monthly high was at 132.02 on February 1, the monthly low — at 122.45 on February 24. Trading ended at 122.49 for this currency pair.

GBP/JPY — was in a strong and steady downtrend in February. The maximum level for this pair was 175.00 on February 1, while the minimum — 154.71 on February 24. The month's trading ended at 156.77 for GBP/JPY.

Fundamental background of the past month

In February, the US dollar has been plagued by doubts about the ability of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this year. Such doubts intensified after the dovish Fed policy meeting minutes.

The euro also experienced hard times due to the outlook for additional monetary easing in March. Inflation data supported the case for even more stimulative monetary policy. Concerns about Great Britain spilled over to the currency as well.

Talking about Britain, concerns that the country may leave the European Union were haunting the market, leading to a huge slump of the pound. The monetary policy outlook was not beneficial to the currency as well.

With all the fears and uncertainty among investors, the market sentiment made the yen extremely strong despite the attempts of Japanese officials to talk the currency down.

Turning to commodity currencies, the decent performance of crude oil was beneficial to them, particularly to the Canadian dollar, though in times moves of the currency were losing correlation with moves of oil prices.

Doubts about the Fed interest rate hike led to a impressive rally of gold.

Interest rate changes in February
Indonesia 7.25% -0.25% 7.00%
Mexico 3.25% +0.50% 3.75%
Sweden -0.35% -0.15% -0.50%

You can see the current interest rates by the world's central banks in our interest rate table.

Forex articles

One new Forex article has been published on EarnForex.com since the last issue of the newsletter:

You can always browse the previously uploaded articles.

Top 5 Forex brokers of the last month

The top five Forex brokers, as reviewed by the visitors of EarnForex.com are the following:

  1. GAINSY — 9.5
  2. HY Markets — 9.3
  3. Tickmill — 9.3
  4. 10Markets — 9.3
  5. FreshForex — 8.9

To qualify for the position in this list, a Forex broker should have at least 3 valid reviews. Do not forget to review your favorite broker if you have not done so already.

Forex brokers

new Forex brokers have been added to EarnForex.com since the last issue of the newsletter:

  • Titan FX — a regulated company from New Zealand with ECN/STP accounts starting from $200. The only available platform is MetaTrader 4. Free VPS is available to active traders who make over 15 lots monthly volume.
  • StoxMarket — an unregulated Russian broker with $1,000 minimum size, MetaTrader 4, and a custom trading platform.
  • Vipro Markets — a classic Cypriot Forex broker with MT4 platform and $25 minimum account size.
  • VARIANSE — a regulated UK broker with MT4 ECN accounts. The minimum to start trading is $500 ($5,000 for ECN) and the maximum leverage on currencies is 1:100.
  • ForexChief — an unregulated Russian FX broker aimed on international customers. They offer different types of MT4 accounts with $1 minimum. Forex leverage can be as high as 1:400.

You can always view our full list of Forex brokers.

Forex polls

Two new polls have been posted in the EarnForex blog:

You can also browse the full list of Forex polls from EarnForex.com.

Forum

Top 5 hot topics on EarnForex Forum in February:

  1. My Trading Journal- Learn to reach out my first $1000 withdrawal
  2. Common mistakes in trading
  3. Position Size Calculator
  4. Forex Optimum - review
  5. What kind of problems do you have with your forex broker?
Forex industry news

There were the following important Forex industry news since the last issue of the newsletter:

  • RoboForex opened a representative office in China.
  • eToro launched a joint venture with Russia's biggest bank Sberbank to offer Forex trading services in that country.
  • CySEC fines a Cypriot Forex broker COMMEXFX for €100,000 for dealing on own account without holding a proper license.
  • Special administration of LQD Markets (a Forex broker which went under following January 15, 2015, Swiss franc turmoil) announced that $4.34 million of customers' funds will be returned to former clients. The deficit of $2.91 million still remains.
  • US broker TradeStation is now out of retail Forex business and its clients have been moved to OANDA.
  • IG has opened an office in Dublin, Ireland.
  • Avail Trading Corp., the parent company of ATC Brokers filed for bankruptcy in Californian court. So far, it has no effect on the company's Forex business operation.
Until the next newsletter issue!

That is all for the March issue of the EarnForex.com newsletter. If you have questions, comments or just want to see something else in the next monthly issue, please let us know.


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